You have a common misinterpretation of chance. If you flip a coin 10 times and it comes up heads every time, the chances of it coming up heads the next time is not a million to one, it's still 50/50. If two people buy a lottery ticket, and one person has never bought a lottery ticket, they still have the same chance of winning as the person who buys 100 lottery tickets a week.
Yea. The atheists have to organize because the religious nuts are so organized, As Dawkins argues, we control too much technology and power to let political decisions be made by people who base their decisions on mythology.
Exactly. It's really a ballsy move. He's leveraging the Chevy masculine image to sell the Volt. It's rather brilliant. And I liked how aggressive he was about the Chevy image.
Doesn't even have to be war. In 1910 a terrorist was someone who had a pistol and wanted to shoot the Duke. Now a terrorist is a suicide bomber who can destroy a city block.
How could any intelligent species survive past the point where one individual of the species controls the technology capable of destroying the race?
Australians are just as stupid as Americans as well. On the show "I can't believe I'm alive", an Australian decides to take his daughter off road in an SUV a hundred miles into the deep desert.
But what are the odds that in a half hour walk on the beach you'd see a coke bottle? 100%?
The basic problem here is the age of the universe. If the universe was 5 billion years old then we could believe that there are other intelligent races out there, but they haven't developed much beyond our level.
But the universe is 15 billion years old. We're late-comers. Where's all the people who came to the party 10 billion years ago?
You guys seem to autistic to comprehend 10 billion years and billions of stars in our galaxy. Sure, space is big, but in 10 billion years you'd think some intelligent alien race would have discovered how to settle other planets, or at least made self-replicating space probes.
Life on earth is only 3 billion years old. The universe is something like 15 billion years old. The only way all the other aliens could be at our level is if something kills them off.
Well, that makes sense if civilizations never get much past our level. But we went from radio to space travel in 150 years, what could we do after a billion years? There should be 10 billion year old civilizations out there,
But we're not talking 1 space bus. We're talking the space buses produced by many civilizations over 10 billion years. It took us 100 years to fill the ocean with coke bottles, imagine the product of 10 billion years floating around in space.
Of course, the black hole in the center of our galaxy could emit an enormous gamma ray pulse every 3 billion years or so, wiping out all life in the galaxy. Maybe most civilizations only get the time to send out a couple or so interstellar probes.
But life expands. Don't you think that in 10 billion years someone would have figured out how to settle space, and expanded throughout the galaxy?
Of course, if that was a predator species, that would explain the lack of alien civilizations.
We don't even have to go that far. We have two robots exploring Mars. Isn't the logical next step to build probes that could replicate themselves? Why don't we see them?
Coke bottles wash up on remote desert islands. After 10 billion years, you'd think there'd be some alien junk washing up on Earth. Or even alien structures larger than planets, large enough to see.
